There has been a ton of terrible modeling this year, and the IHME is just one example. This week the CDC published an ensemble of models trained on Covid case d

There has been a ton of terrible modeling this year, and the IHME is just one example. This week the CDC published an ensemble of models trained on Covid case data up to March 27. The models completely mispredict the actual number of cases since that time: https://pbs.twimg.com/media/E0qZTvVVkAIs484?format=jpg&name=medium https://pbs.twimg.com/media/E0qZTvVVkAIs484?format=jpg&name=... This is a total failure of validation that would make any other practitioner question the whole exercise, but it didn't stop the CDC from publishing them. Nor did it stop the news media from trumpeting the results. The Washington Post and CNBC and others wrote headline articles fawning over them.