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Just consider the batting average for the mass of people who predicted over the decades that technology X or technology Y would never be affordable.
by ilaksh 6y ago
Just consider the batting average for the mass of people who predicted over the decades that technology X or technology Y would never be affordable.
- robinsoh 6y agoTheir batting average is much better than you may think. Most technologies fail out. Remember the tonnes of people who fell prey to OLPC'S Jepsen claims about transflective being the next big thing. There's this funny thing called survivorship bias that causes people to misunderstand "batting average". https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Survivorship_bias https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Survivorship_bias
- ilaksh 6y agoThat wasn't just about transflective, that was about OLPC. And that's the one example you can give? I know what a batting average is. Your comments are insulting in a backhanded way. Everything new from the car, airplane, computers, phones, OLED, has had people like you claiming it was never going to be economically viable.