As someone who has studied modeling, these situations are fundamentally unmodelable with the tools we have. Whenever you read a study saying that 'In complex s

As someone who has studied modeling, these situations are fundamentally unmodelable with the tools we have. Whenever you read a study saying that 'In complex system X, Y will happen in a decade' breathe easily -- we can't model what the stock market will look like in a day. We can't model what user demand for a sale will be in a week. We can't model most complex things in any large time frame, and believing any conclusions in the XX years for something as complex as climate is bizarre.