3 ms·
Well the most definitive measure of herd immunity would be, does the rate of cases stay low? And their rate of new cases has gotten to levels not seen in over
by rossdavidh 6y ago
Well the most definitive measure of herd immunity would be, does the rate of cases stay low? And their rate of new cases has gotten to levels not seen in over six months, even though they have ended the lockdown and other such measures. So, either:
1) they have herd immunity, or
2) the lockdown wasn't really doing anything anyway
Or both, of course. But the theory that accords best with prior knowledge, is that because they have gotten above 70% resistant (either through vaccination or the virus itself), they have herd immunity because that's what we expected.
The real news would be if they did NOT have herd immunity by now, as that would imply that vaccination is for some reason not working. But, good news, it appears to be working.
- simonh 6y agoThe UK has very definitely not ended our lockdown. We have started phasing out lockdown measures, but most are still very much in place.
- marcosdumay 6y agoI think the GP is talking about Israel.
- rossdavidh 6y agoYes, talking about Israel. UK's vaccination rate is better than most countries', but not so high that it would be surprising if they had not gotten to herd immunity yet (given the uncertainty about how many people have already gotten it and recovered). But in Israel's case, their percent vaccinated (and percent recovered) is high enough that it would be disquieting news if they had not gotten to herd immunity.