3 ms·
Oh, definitely. I don't dispute the need for the adjustments that the authors were applying. It's just that...after a certain amount of "adjustment", what good
by timr 6y ago
Oh, definitely. I don't dispute the need for the adjustments that the authors were applying. It's just that...after a certain amount of "adjustment", what good is your prediction, anyway? Correcting the seroprevalence by a few percent is one thing. "Correcting" it by over 200% is quite another.
Basically, folks are going back to this paper (or more realistically: not reading it at all, and simply parroting headlines), ignoring the intense massaging of the data, and claiming that reality disagrees with the predictions from the paper, therefore reality must be wrong.
- lamontcg 6y agoRight, I would argue there's factors that might call for a 200% correction the other direction. You just can't validate their tea leaf reading here of what are the correct set of corrections.