4 ms·

Again, you're confusing percentages. To use some simplified numbers to explain it - consider that normally 100,000 people are infected with some form of respir

Again, you're confusing percentages. To use some simplified numbers to explain it - consider that normally 100,000 people are infected with some form of respiratory virus on a daily, basis and 20% of those are rhinoviruses, then that means there are 20,000 daily rhinovirus infections. And let's also say that strains of influenza are another 20% and 20,000/day. Now what is happening, is in a covid world, due to masks and distancing, the number of people infected on a daily basis drops from 100,000 to 10,000. Rhinoviruses are sill 20% of that, but they are now down to 2,000. Masks and social distancing has had a drastic affect on them. Influenza drops down to only 2% so only 200 cases daily. Masks and distancing have an even more drastic effect in influenza. As a result, we're seeing exactly the graph you've linked. Rhinovirus is 20% rate, but of a much smaller pie. And you're mistaking that as masks and distancing having little or no effect.

deleted 6y ago
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timr 6y ago
I am not "confusing percentages". You (now) agree with me on what the data says, you just don't like how it fits in with your theory. > Now what is happening, is in a covid world, due to masks and distancing, the number of people infected on a daily basis drops from 100,000 to 10,000. Rhinoviruses are sill 20% of that, but they are now down to 2,000....Influenza drops down to only 2% so only 200 cases daily. Masks and distancing have an even more drastic effect in influenza. Yes, I understand your hypothesis: masks make influenza go down to almost 0, but somehow rhinovirus ends up at exactly the same percentage as it was before. In other words: masks work exceptionally well for flu, don't work at all for rhinovirus. This is a theory. It is...implausible...but if you want to believe it explains the patterns in the data, you're certainly welcome to do so.

deleted 6y ago

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timr 6y ago

I am not "confusing percentages". You (now) agree with me on what the data says, you just don't like how it fits in with your theory. > Now what is happening, is in a covid world, due to masks and distancing, the number of people infected on a daily basis drops from 100,000 to 10,000. Rhinoviruses are sill 20% of that, but they are now down to 2,000....Influenza drops down to only 2% so only 200 cases daily. Masks and distancing have an even more drastic effect in influenza. Yes, I understand your hypothesis: masks make influenza go down to almost 0, but somehow rhinovirus ends up at exactly the same percentage as it was before. In other words: masks work exceptionally well for flu, don't work at all for rhinovirus. This is a theory. It is...implausible...but if you want to believe it explains the patterns in the data, you're certainly welcome to do so.