3 ms·
Prediction markets, more specifically predictit, have an hard extreme bias towards the right. I was basically printing money last year.
by nojito 6y ago
Prediction markets, more specifically predictit, have an hard extreme bias towards the right.
I was basically printing money last year.
- NovaJehovah 6y agoYou may be correct, but since we are dealing with long tail events, I really doubt that we have anywhere close to enough data to make statistically significant empirical statements about bias. You are almost certainly being results-oriented.
- nojito 6y agoNope. Prediction markets always have a hard right bias. I have been doing this for years.