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I appreciate the sentiment, but the books is from 1970. Not sure how relevant it is anymore. Malthus said essentially the same thing hundreds of years ago and
by bluedevil2k 6y ago
I appreciate the sentiment, but the books is from 1970. Not sure how relevant it is anymore. Malthus said essentially the same thing hundreds of years ago and was wrong because he couldn’t predict the technological changes that change the supply curve.
- david927 6y agoIt's not related to Malthus' argument and it's been updated and shown to be utterly prescient: https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2014/sep/02/limits-to-growth-was-right-new-research-shows-were-nearing-collapse https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2014/sep/02/limits... Our technologies have made extraction of resources more efficient but hasn't really fixed the limit of resources.
- t0mbstone 6y agoOnce we start doing space mining, our resources will become significantly less limited...
- SpicyLemonZest 6y agoThis article is, frankly, statistical malpractice. Limits of Growth predicted continuations of historical trends followed by sharp reversals; the data in this article shows that historical trends have continued, and the authors conclude that the sharp reversal must becoming soon. You could confirm any model you wanted that way. The peak oil discussion is especially anti-prescient, because innovations since this article was written have made both oil and renewable energy much more available. It's generally acknowledged nowadays that demand for oil will peak long before the supply starts to run out.
- Clewza313 6y agoThe article is from 2014 and speculates that peak oil is going to trigger societal collapse. Given the advances we've seen in solar and battery tech just in the last decade, I feel fairly confident in stating that this is looking increasingly unlikely.