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Interviewer here. Happy to answer any questions or take any feedback about the episode. Jason Gauci joined facebook to try to solve some problems with the news

by agbell 6y ago

Interviewer here. Happy to answer any questions or take any feedback about the episode. Jason Gauci joined facebook to try to solve some problems with the newsfeed using reinforcement learning. He originally got into ML via training bots to play capture the flag. What he ended up creating is open source [1]. [1]: https://reagent.ai/ https://reagent.ai/

mlthoughts2018 6y ago
The “This is a reinforcement learning problem” section is very unconvincing. It presupposes that approaching the problem like a game or “capture the flag” is good or somehow better than supervised learning based on attributes that are known to correlate quite strongly to user preferences. Given the very widespread complaints about this type of recommender system - eg modern YouTube and FB Newsfeed rankings are widely panned as reinforcing biases, optimizing for pure engagement which leads to reinforcing outrage, both by ML experts and general users who don’t like the experience & feel it is manipulative, what is your take on how we can steer the conversation in the other direction - that this is NOT a reinforcement learning problem, and that we shouldn’t reward people looking to pad their ML resume with solutions in search of a problem that facilitate their ability to brag about scale & complexity over a solution that very demonstrably serves users poorly?
- agbell 6y ago
  I know very little about ML, being just the host, but I think 'explore vs exploit' trade off that Jason mentions sounds like an improvement on pure 'exploit'. Explore is finding new interests and not just exploiting existing ones. I think you are correct to have concerns around optimizing for pure engagement though. These algos are giant optimizing machines. What should we be asking them to optimize? That seems like an important question that was only vaguely touched on in this discussion.
  - mlthoughts2018 6y ago
    That’s zero reason to reach for a bazooka like reinforcement learning though. You could use simple Thompson Sampling or many other multi-armed bandit methods. Balancing learning vs serving the optimal result is fine - many companies have approached ranking and recommendation that way for decades - but reinforcement learning would still not be justified unless you present some extremely compelling evidence.
    - mlthoughts2018 6y ago
      Also to be clear - I think it’s great to hear this perspective and putting together the interview is well done. I’m not trying to criticize you nor the merit of talking about this topic - it is well worth it. I was just asking, since you develop these kinds of interviews, what do you think would be a good way to get the other side of the story and talk to big tech practitioners who do not agree with the leap to reinforcement learning?
    - agbell 6y ago
      Isn't multi-armed bandit a simple reinforcement learning algo? It is used in reagent's introductory tutorial: https://reagent.ai/rasp_tutorial.html https://reagent.ai/rasp_tutorial.html Replying here to sibling: Thank you for the feedback. I think it is fair to say this interview does not explore in depth the issues that these techniques can cause and it certainly only presents one side. I think the recommendation to get more than one perspective is a good one. Let me know if there is anyone specific you recommend I talk to.
      - mlthoughts2018 6y ago
        That’s a lot of semantic hairsplitting. They are both “reinforcement learning” in the same way a Honda Civic and an aircraft carrier are both “vehicles.”
      - srean 6y ago
        > Isn't multi-armed bandit a simple reinforcement learning algo It is indeed. Its a restricted form of it. In RL one can allow a state change after an action which in turn can make the same 'arms'|'actions' behave differently because their behavior is tied to the state. The state one lands in can also exercise control over which state you end up next. Its for this reason some extra book keeping is necessary for full-fledged RL. But you are absolutely right that bandits are considered a simplified version of RL. By controlling the size of the state space one can control how bandit like the solution will behave. There is also something called a contextual bandit that sits between pure bandits and RL. CBs do not have state change, but they do have access to a side information that can affect the 'arms'. In RL one needs to think not only about the reward but also about the possibility of ending up in a 'dead-end| hard-to-recover-from' state because the immediate reward was high. CBs do not have such 'traps' but have more modeling power because the reward of an arm can depend on this side-information, usually called context. The heat that you are getting from some comments is unwarranted. EDIT: Holy mother of monkey milk you have a ton of super interesting interviews ! Glad I ran into your content. Better late than never.
glutamate 6y ago
Is reinforcement learning being used to stop the newsfeed promoting genocide? https://www.nytimes.com/2018/10/15/technology/myanmar-facebook-genocide.html https://www.nytimes.com/2018/10/15/technology/myanmar-facebo...
snicksnak 6y ago
What would be the actual goal RL should aim for when being applied to the newsfeed? I understood RL for amazon aims for suggesting you things you're looking for or you're likely to buy. One might think this correlates directly with minimizing the time spent on browsing amazon. For the newsfeed it probably would be the complete opposite right, so maximizing the scroll of doom? Also, from the transcript: > when you go to Facebook, [...], you see all these posts from your friends Maybe I'm an outlier but my newsfeed probably contains ~5% of posts related to my friends, birthday wishes included. I use facebook primarily as a news aggregator nowadays.
- buitreVirtual 6y ago
  > I use facebook primarily as a news aggregator nowadays. Isn't this how people end up trapped in alternative-facts bubbles?
  - goguy 6y ago
    Depends which news he's taking about. Sports news is usually pretty factual.
- agbell 6y ago
  Thanks for reading or listening to the episode! I think that is the hardest question, what to optimize for. Jason mentions that facebook employs social scientists who help set what the value is they are optimizing for. > I don’t work on the social science part of it. We try to optimize and we do it on good faith that the goals we’re optimizing for are good faith goals. But I’ve been in enough of the meetings to see the intent is really a good intent. It’s just a thing that’s very difficult to quantify. > But I do think that the intent is to provide that value. And I do think that they would trade some of the margin for the value in a heartbeat.
  - dbtc 6y ago
    Not profit? I thought it was for profit.
Jugurtha 6y ago
How is Facebook doing machine learning? I know they have their internal platform (FBLearner Flow, "equivalent" to Uber's Michelangelo), but I have talked with people who have worked there and they didn't use it. I spoke with them to test our own machine learning platform (https://iko.ai https://iko.ai). The workflow they described was really odd. SSHing into boxes to use a cluster, etc. Which is what we have been doing as a tiny, immature company a few years ago until it became so frustrating that we built our platform. I'm talking about a tiny team, so I'm wondering how they get away with it, or is it that the people I talked with did simply not adopt it. Someone went as far as saying that "experiment tracking" was "I told my manager which hyperparameters worked best".
- anon_tor_12345 6y ago
  >they didn't use it ... The workflow they described was really odd. SSHing into boxes to use a cluster, etc. no clue what you're talking about - most everyone on a product team uses fblearner (the platform you're alluding to) which is a job queue type tool i.e. submit fblearner jobs and watch them run along with metrics tracking. >Someone went as far as saying that "experiment tracking" was "I told my manager which hyperparameters worked best" hyperparameters are rarely fiddled with because of how much data there is to train on but like i said fblearner has plenty of views to help with "experiment tracking" when it comes to hpo.
  - Jugurtha 6y ago
    This is why I found it odd. I wondered why they didn't use FBLearner Flow and figured that not all teams were using it even though they did machine learning. We like these conversations where people share problems they may be having in order to get a bigger picture. We built our ML platform to solve our own problems that we faced over the years, but it's always nice to be exposed with problems we have not seen before to solve a slightly more general problem.
    - anon_tor_12345 6y ago
      >I wondered why they didn't use FBLearner Flow were they in FAIR? conceivably FAIR might need more flexibility (because they're trying to "innovate") and so they fall back on lower level tools. but i know people at FAIR and they too use fblearner. regardless FAIR (or whatever other org you spoke to) is very small relative to the total number of people using/doing ML at FB so extrapolating from their needs is unwise (if you're trying to build a business around some typical process).
Ozzie_osman 6y ago
This was a great read. It looks like the objective function (which seems to be some measure of "did we increase value" vs did the user tap the notification ) is really important here. Any idea how that was actually measured?
- agbell 6y ago
  Thanks! My understanding is they are looking at page management activity and whether it increases above what they would expect if they didn't notify. Some of the details are covered in the paper [1] >The Markov Decision Process (MDP) is based on a sequence of notification candidates for a particular person. The actions here are sending and dropping the notification, and the state describes a set of features about the person and the notification candidate. There are rewards for interactions and activity on Facebook, with a penalty for sending the notification to control the volume of notifications sent. The policy optimizes for the long term value and is able to capture incremental effects of sending the notification by comparing the Q-values of the send and drop action > The training data spans multiple weeks to enable the RL model to capture page admins’ responses and interactions to the notifications with their managed pages over a long term horizon. The accumulated discounted rewards collected in the training allow the model to identify page admins with longterm intent to stay active with the help of being notified. [1] https://arxiv.org/pdf/1811.00260.pdf https://arxiv.org/pdf/1811.00260.pdf

by agbell 6y ago

mlthoughts2018 6y ago

The “This is a reinforcement learning problem” section is very unconvincing. It presupposes that approaching the problem like a game or “capture the flag” is good or somehow better than supervised learning based on attributes that are known to correlate quite strongly to user preferences. Given the very widespread complaints about this type of recommender system - eg modern YouTube and FB Newsfeed rankings are widely panned as reinforcing biases, optimizing for pure engagement which leads to reinforcing outrage, both by ML experts and general users who don’t like the experience & feel it is manipulative, what is your take on how we can steer the conversation in the other direction - that this is NOT a reinforcement learning problem, and that we shouldn’t reward people looking to pad their ML resume with solutions in search of a problem that facilitate their ability to brag about scale & complexity over a solution that very demonstrably serves users poorly?

agbell 6y ago
I know very little about ML, being just the host, but I think 'explore vs exploit' trade off that Jason mentions sounds like an improvement on pure 'exploit'. Explore is finding new interests and not just exploiting existing ones. I think you are correct to have concerns around optimizing for pure engagement though. These algos are giant optimizing machines. What should we be asking them to optimize? That seems like an important question that was only vaguely touched on in this discussion.
- mlthoughts2018 6y ago
  That’s zero reason to reach for a bazooka like reinforcement learning though. You could use simple Thompson Sampling or many other multi-armed bandit methods. Balancing learning vs serving the optimal result is fine - many companies have approached ranking and recommendation that way for decades - but reinforcement learning would still not be justified unless you present some extremely compelling evidence.
  - mlthoughts2018 6y ago
    Also to be clear - I think it’s great to hear this perspective and putting together the interview is well done. I’m not trying to criticize you nor the merit of talking about this topic - it is well worth it. I was just asking, since you develop these kinds of interviews, what do you think would be a good way to get the other side of the story and talk to big tech practitioners who do not agree with the leap to reinforcement learning?
  - agbell 6y ago
    Isn't multi-armed bandit a simple reinforcement learning algo? It is used in reagent's introductory tutorial: https://reagent.ai/rasp_tutorial.html https://reagent.ai/rasp_tutorial.html Replying here to sibling: Thank you for the feedback. I think it is fair to say this interview does not explore in depth the issues that these techniques can cause and it certainly only presents one side. I think the recommendation to get more than one perspective is a good one. Let me know if there is anyone specific you recommend I talk to.
    - mlthoughts2018 6y ago
      That’s a lot of semantic hairsplitting. They are both “reinforcement learning” in the same way a Honda Civic and an aircraft carrier are both “vehicles.”
    - srean 6y ago
      > Isn't multi-armed bandit a simple reinforcement learning algo It is indeed. Its a restricted form of it. In RL one can allow a state change after an action which in turn can make the same 'arms'|'actions' behave differently because their behavior is tied to the state. The state one lands in can also exercise control over which state you end up next. Its for this reason some extra book keeping is necessary for full-fledged RL. But you are absolutely right that bandits are considered a simplified version of RL. By controlling the size of the state space one can control how bandit like the solution will behave. There is also something called a contextual bandit that sits between pure bandits and RL. CBs do not have state change, but they do have access to a side information that can affect the 'arms'. In RL one needs to think not only about the reward but also about the possibility of ending up in a 'dead-end| hard-to-recover-from' state because the immediate reward was high. CBs do not have such 'traps' but have more modeling power because the reward of an arm can depend on this side-information, usually called context. The heat that you are getting from some comments is unwarranted. EDIT: Holy mother of monkey milk you have a ton of super interesting interviews ! Glad I ran into your content. Better late than never.

glutamate 6y ago

Is reinforcement learning being used to stop the newsfeed promoting genocide? https://www.nytimes.com/2018/10/15/technology/myanmar-facebook-genocide.html https://www.nytimes.com/2018/10/15/technology/myanmar-facebo...

snicksnak 6y ago

What would be the actual goal RL should aim for when being applied to the newsfeed? I understood RL for amazon aims for suggesting you things you're looking for or you're likely to buy. One might think this correlates directly with minimizing the time spent on browsing amazon. For the newsfeed it probably would be the complete opposite right, so maximizing the scroll of doom? Also, from the transcript: > when you go to Facebook, [...], you see all these posts from your friends Maybe I'm an outlier but my newsfeed probably contains ~5% of posts related to my friends, birthday wishes included. I use facebook primarily as a news aggregator nowadays.

buitreVirtual 6y ago
> I use facebook primarily as a news aggregator nowadays. Isn't this how people end up trapped in alternative-facts bubbles?
- goguy 6y ago
  Depends which news he's taking about. Sports news is usually pretty factual.
agbell 6y ago
Thanks for reading or listening to the episode! I think that is the hardest question, what to optimize for. Jason mentions that facebook employs social scientists who help set what the value is they are optimizing for. > I don’t work on the social science part of it. We try to optimize and we do it on good faith that the goals we’re optimizing for are good faith goals. But I’ve been in enough of the meetings to see the intent is really a good intent. It’s just a thing that’s very difficult to quantify. > But I do think that the intent is to provide that value. And I do think that they would trade some of the margin for the value in a heartbeat.
- dbtc 6y ago
  Not profit? I thought it was for profit.

Jugurtha 6y ago

How is Facebook doing machine learning? I know they have their internal platform (FBLearner Flow, "equivalent" to Uber's Michelangelo), but I have talked with people who have worked there and they didn't use it. I spoke with them to test our own machine learning platform (https://iko.ai https://iko.ai). The workflow they described was really odd. SSHing into boxes to use a cluster, etc. Which is what we have been doing as a tiny, immature company a few years ago until it became so frustrating that we built our platform. I'm talking about a tiny team, so I'm wondering how they get away with it, or is it that the people I talked with did simply not adopt it. Someone went as far as saying that "experiment tracking" was "I told my manager which hyperparameters worked best".

anon_tor_12345 6y ago
>they didn't use it ... The workflow they described was really odd. SSHing into boxes to use a cluster, etc. no clue what you're talking about - most everyone on a product team uses fblearner (the platform you're alluding to) which is a job queue type tool i.e. submit fblearner jobs and watch them run along with metrics tracking. >Someone went as far as saying that "experiment tracking" was "I told my manager which hyperparameters worked best" hyperparameters are rarely fiddled with because of how much data there is to train on but like i said fblearner has plenty of views to help with "experiment tracking" when it comes to hpo.
- Jugurtha 6y ago
  This is why I found it odd. I wondered why they didn't use FBLearner Flow and figured that not all teams were using it even though they did machine learning. We like these conversations where people share problems they may be having in order to get a bigger picture. We built our ML platform to solve our own problems that we faced over the years, but it's always nice to be exposed with problems we have not seen before to solve a slightly more general problem.
  - anon_tor_12345 6y ago
    >I wondered why they didn't use FBLearner Flow were they in FAIR? conceivably FAIR might need more flexibility (because they're trying to "innovate") and so they fall back on lower level tools. but i know people at FAIR and they too use fblearner. regardless FAIR (or whatever other org you spoke to) is very small relative to the total number of people using/doing ML at FB so extrapolating from their needs is unwise (if you're trying to build a business around some typical process).

Ozzie_osman 6y ago

This was a great read. It looks like the objective function (which seems to be some measure of "did we increase value" vs did the user tap the notification ) is really important here. Any idea how that was actually measured?

agbell 6y ago
Thanks! My understanding is they are looking at page management activity and whether it increases above what they would expect if they didn't notify. Some of the details are covered in the paper [1] >The Markov Decision Process (MDP) is based on a sequence of notification candidates for a particular person. The actions here are sending and dropping the notification, and the state describes a set of features about the person and the notification candidate. There are rewards for interactions and activity on Facebook, with a penalty for sending the notification to control the volume of notifications sent. The policy optimizes for the long term value and is able to capture incremental effects of sending the notification by comparing the Q-values of the send and drop action > The training data spans multiple weeks to enable the RL model to capture page admins’ responses and interactions to the notifications with their managed pages over a long term horizon. The accumulated discounted rewards collected in the training allow the model to identify page admins with longterm intent to stay active with the help of being notified. [1] https://arxiv.org/pdf/1811.00260.pdf https://arxiv.org/pdf/1811.00260.pdf