4 ms·

Do you think it is just a coincidence that wages stopped rising when they ramped up low skill immigration in the 70's? When you increase one class of people wit

Do you think it is just a coincidence that wages stopped rising when they ramped up low skill immigration in the 70's? When you increase one class of people without increasing the other then simple economics says that said class will get less valued and see wage stagnation/reduction, which is exactly what history says happened. https://www.pewresearch.org/hispanic/wp-content/uploads/sites/5/2012/04/2012-phc-mexican-migration-10a.png https://www.pewresearch.org/hispanic/wp-content/uploads/site... Where I live low skilled labor is paid well simply because otherwise you wont find anyone who wants to do the job. That is how it should work, educate everyone and there will be a shortage of low skill labor driving up their wages.

api 6y ago
A lot of things happened in the early 70s: - Many overseas markets opened to more outsourcing. Nixon "going to China" was one of the big ones. - The rest of the world had pretty much fully recovered from WWII and started being more competitive with US manufacturing. - The collapse of Bretton Woods and the removal of the gold peg for the US dollar freed central banks to pursue aggressive monetary policy. - Automation really took off in the 1970s, and the computer revolution really got going. - Women entered the work force in large numbers. In case anyone misreads: I am not against this. I'm just pointing out the supply and demand effects. - Unions started declining for numerous reasons including the rise of anti-union politics and corruption in unions themselves. - Increased racial equality is another thing I'm not against, but I am forced to point out that it increases the supply of labor in many labor markets that had been at least partly closed to non-whites. - Finally, more immigration is definitely on the list too. ... there's a lot more, but those are the big ones. Almost everything I listed is deflationary to labor prices. So many things hit in the 70s it's like the floor dropped out. It's amazing US labor has managed to hang on at all.
- kmos17 6y ago
  Thanks, that’s is a really comprehensive list, as always there is very rarely a single reason for such large scale changes like wage stagnation. Imo wage stagnation in the US seems to be far more attributable to deregulation, decline of unions and pressure from public companies to constantly cut costs to justify rising stock prices. I am not exactly sure when it started, but if the topic is immigration impact on stagnating wages, I believe unless I am mistaken that the US-Mexico border was in fact a lot more open up to the 50’s, at least for cheap seasonal agricultural workers, until an ex marine general took over immigration enforcement sometime in the 60’s (or maybe 70’s?) with the perverse effect of forcing more seasonal immigrants to stay rather than risk going back home and not being able to come back.
mledu 6y ago
Is it not obvious that that H1B program has been abused for years to suppress engineering wages?
- TearsInTheRain 6y ago
  Didn't Trump suspend H1-B visas? Does Biden have a plan for the program?

api 6y ago

A lot of things happened in the early 70s: - Many overseas markets opened to more outsourcing. Nixon "going to China" was one of the big ones. - The rest of the world had pretty much fully recovered from WWII and started being more competitive with US manufacturing. - The collapse of Bretton Woods and the removal of the gold peg for the US dollar freed central banks to pursue aggressive monetary policy. - Automation really took off in the 1970s, and the computer revolution really got going. - Women entered the work force in large numbers. In case anyone misreads: I am not against this. I'm just pointing out the supply and demand effects. - Unions started declining for numerous reasons including the rise of anti-union politics and corruption in unions themselves. - Increased racial equality is another thing I'm not against, but I am forced to point out that it increases the supply of labor in many labor markets that had been at least partly closed to non-whites. - Finally, more immigration is definitely on the list too. ... there's a lot more, but those are the big ones. Almost everything I listed is deflationary to labor prices. So many things hit in the 70s it's like the floor dropped out. It's amazing US labor has managed to hang on at all.

kmos17 6y ago
Thanks, that’s is a really comprehensive list, as always there is very rarely a single reason for such large scale changes like wage stagnation. Imo wage stagnation in the US seems to be far more attributable to deregulation, decline of unions and pressure from public companies to constantly cut costs to justify rising stock prices. I am not exactly sure when it started, but if the topic is immigration impact on stagnating wages, I believe unless I am mistaken that the US-Mexico border was in fact a lot more open up to the 50’s, at least for cheap seasonal agricultural workers, until an ex marine general took over immigration enforcement sometime in the 60’s (or maybe 70’s?) with the perverse effect of forcing more seasonal immigrants to stay rather than risk going back home and not being able to come back.

mledu 6y ago

Is it not obvious that that H1B program has been abused for years to suppress engineering wages?

TearsInTheRain 6y ago
Didn't Trump suspend H1-B visas? Does Biden have a plan for the program?