3 ms·
If fully autonomous long haul trucking was buyable today, then it'd still take 10+ years for it to be phased in. And even then, your 3.5M people number likely i
by Octoth0rpe 6y ago
If fully autonomous long haul trucking was buyable today, then it'd still take 10+ years for it to be phased in. And even then, your 3.5M people number likely includes both long haul and short haul trucking. Short haul is entirely different ballgame. So, a more likely scenario than 3.5M people losing their jobs suddenly is that the trucking industry stops hiring, and mix of short/long haul jobs shifts from its current mix to entirely short haul.
I'd also be interested in what the median age range is for truckers. If adoption is sufficiently long term (20 years wouldn't surprise me), the economic pain might be surprisingly minimal due to people aging out of the workforce.