6 ms·

Historical 2020: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=21802596 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=21802596 2019: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=187538

by csomar 6y ago

Historical 2020: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=21802596 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=21802596 2019: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=18753859 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=18753859 2018: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=16007988 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=16007988 2017: none? 2016: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=10809767 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=10809767 2015: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=8822723 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=8822723 2014: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=6994370 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=6994370 2013: none? 2012: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=3395201 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=3395201 2011: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=1970023 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=1970023 2010: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=1025681 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=1025681

deleted 6y ago
[deleted]
yen223 6y ago
Click the link for 2020 cmd-f 'virus': 0 results Predictions are hard
- Sebb767 6y ago
  Even though Corona was already in the news at that time. Oh well, at least we weren't the only ones to get caught of guard.
  - mkl 6y ago
    That discussion was Dec 16, 2019. That was the day of Wuhan's first Covid-19 hospital admissions, so I don't think it was really in the news yet.
- HiroshiSan 6y ago
  try ctrl-f
- derangedHorse 6y ago
  To be fair, there were only 8 responses
- terse_malvolio 6y ago
  https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Global_catastrophic_risk https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Global_catastrophic_risk This is older
systemvoltage 6y ago
Funny how optimistic and tech oriented the previous ones are compared to 2021 - mostly politics, inequality and authoritarianism.
- vmception 6y ago
  be the change you want to see
mojuba 6y ago
2009: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=416530 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=416530
chrischapman 6y ago
Thanks for those links. I did a quick search for privacy predictions (something I'm interested in) and found some interesting ones - particularly the first one below - it seems to be predicting ClearView AI - but back in 2010. Wow! 2010 -People become more privacy aware after an image search engine with facial recognition is popularized and they realize that any picture ever posted of them by anyone is in the search result for their name. People become less willing to let others take compromising pictures as if they become posted, the link back to them will be made. https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=1025787 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=1025787 2011 - none 2012 - none 2013 - none 2014 2) Security/privacy will become something normal people and businesses ask about, and ask fairly superficial questions about, during many transactions (e.g. people are going to stop being fucking morons and just relying on "the cloud" for sensitive data without questioning it; they may still end up using the cloud, but will want to make a more informed choice.) https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=6994370 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=6994370 I'd like to believe that we'll be more privacy-conscious in 2014, but I don't actually think that will be the case. I'd like to see more scrutiny of the data companies collect about users, particularly because they are now collecting more data than ever before. Some companies like Google have staggering amounts of user data. They're probably salivating at the prospect of capturing even more precise user behaviour through an OS (Chrome) that potentailly captures everything you do online. Far from the tech community (who you might hope would be most informed about this) actually raising concerns about the privacy implications of this, I think Google (and other companies) will continue to get away with barely any scrutiny at all. https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=6995005 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=6995005 2015 2. More hacking scandals come to light and they are used as cover to restrict privacy and empower the intelligence community. https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=8823311 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=8823311 Privacy still will be a target to crush for governments, and so any activity/communication media/etc that could affect that main objective. https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=8823103 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=8823103 - Privacy will become more mainstream. After apps like DarkMail are introduced, Google and the other players will start to reconsider privacy and we, the people will gain. https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=8823303 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=8823303 2016 - none 2017 - none 2018 - none 2019 - none 2020 - none 2021 - none
dang 6y ago
Also this massive thread from a year ago: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=21941278 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=21941278. (Note that large threads are still paginated and you have to click More at the bottom of the page to see the rest.)

by csomar 6y ago

deleted 6y ago

[deleted]

yen223 6y ago

Click the link for 2020 cmd-f 'virus': 0 results Predictions are hard

Sebb767 6y ago
Even though Corona was already in the news at that time. Oh well, at least we weren't the only ones to get caught of guard.
- mkl 6y ago
  That discussion was Dec 16, 2019. That was the day of Wuhan's first Covid-19 hospital admissions, so I don't think it was really in the news yet.
HiroshiSan 6y ago
try ctrl-f
derangedHorse 6y ago
To be fair, there were only 8 responses
terse_malvolio 6y ago
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Global_catastrophic_risk https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Global_catastrophic_risk This is older

systemvoltage 6y ago

Funny how optimistic and tech oriented the previous ones are compared to 2021 - mostly politics, inequality and authoritarianism.

vmception 6y ago
be the change you want to see

mojuba 6y ago

2009: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=416530 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=416530

chrischapman 6y ago

Thanks for those links. I did a quick search for privacy predictions (something I'm interested in) and found some interesting ones - particularly the first one below - it seems to be predicting ClearView AI - but back in 2010. Wow! 2010 -People become more privacy aware after an image search engine with facial recognition is popularized and they realize that any picture ever posted of them by anyone is in the search result for their name. People become less willing to let others take compromising pictures as if they become posted, the link back to them will be made. https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=1025787 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=1025787 2011 - none 2012 - none 2013 - none 2014 2) Security/privacy will become something normal people and businesses ask about, and ask fairly superficial questions about, during many transactions (e.g. people are going to stop being fucking morons and just relying on "the cloud" for sensitive data without questioning it; they may still end up using the cloud, but will want to make a more informed choice.) https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=6994370 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=6994370 I'd like to believe that we'll be more privacy-conscious in 2014, but I don't actually think that will be the case. I'd like to see more scrutiny of the data companies collect about users, particularly because they are now collecting more data than ever before. Some companies like Google have staggering amounts of user data. They're probably salivating at the prospect of capturing even more precise user behaviour through an OS (Chrome) that potentailly captures everything you do online. Far from the tech community (who you might hope would be most informed about this) actually raising concerns about the privacy implications of this, I think Google (and other companies) will continue to get away with barely any scrutiny at all. https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=6995005 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=6995005 2015 2. More hacking scandals come to light and they are used as cover to restrict privacy and empower the intelligence community. https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=8823311 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=8823311 Privacy still will be a target to crush for governments, and so any activity/communication media/etc that could affect that main objective. https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=8823103 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=8823103 - Privacy will become more mainstream. After apps like DarkMail are introduced, Google and the other players will start to reconsider privacy and we, the people will gain. https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=8823303 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=8823303 2016 - none 2017 - none 2018 - none 2019 - none 2020 - none 2021 - none

dang 6y ago

Also this massive thread from a year ago: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=21941278 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=21941278. (Note that large threads are still paginated and you have to click More at the bottom of the page to see the rest.)