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The magnitudes of these errors are wildly different. The U.S. actually had about 200,000 deaths at the end of the summer. A million was an overestimate, but t
by cameldrv 6y ago
The magnitudes of these errors are wildly different.
The U.S. actually had about 200,000 deaths at the end of the summer. A million was an overestimate, but this was on March 20. Kristof/Ferguson's error was 5x.
On the other hand, on the same day, Levitt said that he would be surprised if Israel had more than 10 COVID deaths total. Currently Israel has 3307 COVID deaths, an error of 330x.
He has made a whole series of wildly wrong predictions, all in the same direction.
- timr 6y agoIt's fairly clear from the linked article that he's saying given the low case count at the time (~400) he's not expecting more than ten deaths: "Speaking to Kan's Reshet Bet radio on Wednesday, Levitt, who lives part-time in Tel Aviv, said that on a global scale, the number of cases in Israel is very small." Regardless of what you think of Levitt, he's clearly not making predictions about the indefinite future.