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It's obviously ready and safe enough for Waymo to roll it out (and they've been a lot more conservative than Uber here). As for safety, all we really need is f
by howlgarnish 6y ago
It's obviously ready and safe enough for Waymo to roll it out (and they've been a lot more conservative than Uber here).
As for safety, all we really need is for them to be safer than the average human driver.
As evinced by the ~40,000 road deaths every year in the US, that's really a pretty low bar. I'd even argue that full autonomous is/will be less risky than halfway houses like Tesla Autopilot where neither side is really in full control, but that's another story.
- woeirua 6y agoThat’s actually a high hurdle to clear. Looking at fatalities per hundreds of thousands of miles driven humans are insanely good at driving. Using the 2018 NHTSA number of 1.13 deaths per 100 million miles driven, avg speed of 60 mph, 20 predictions per second, that equates out to an autonomous system can make a fatal mistake on average about every 120 billion predictions.
- sitkack 6y agoYou make it sound like every mis-prediction could result in death.