I threw in the towel (on predicting the future) when Twitter became a thing. I remember reading a "Penny Arcade" comic about Gabe (or is it Tycho?) "micro-blog

I threw in the towel (on predicting the future) when Twitter became a thing. I remember reading a "Penny Arcade" comic about Gabe (or is it Tycho?) "micro-blogging" about his defecations, and being deeply puzzled. Pretty much my rule of thumb is, if you didn't predict Twitter you have no idea what's going on. Even Alvin Toffler didn't predict Twitter. - - - - FWIW, I think the sane response to complexity of modern society is a kind of physical conservatism, similar to how the Amish live (but with slightly more technology.) The idea is that you rely on old highly-stable systems (not to be obscure but I'm talking about mimicking ecosystems for our fundamental needs: food, clothing, housing, [most] medicine) and then introduce carefully those aspects of our "modern space-age-a-go-go" civilization that are really indispensable and low-risk.