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You don't need a lockdown forever, just to reduce transmission enough that contact tracing can be effective. This worked in Europe for a few months, although a
by disgruntledphd2 6y ago
You don't need a lockdown forever, just to reduce transmission enough that contact tracing can be effective.
This worked in Europe for a few months, although all the tourism over the summer probably seeded the current outbreaks.
- syshum 6y agoThere is a huge part of the population that is advocating for a total lockdown until wide scale vaccine distibution is complete and "worked" in EU is an oversimplification of what has happened with out taking into account 100's of other variables You can not simply do a base comparison of cases and say "nation X locked down, and Nation Y did not and that is why they have different outcomes" there is no factual basis for that statement
- disgruntledphd2 6y agoCan you point me to some evidence for this huge portion of the population wanting lockdown until vaccines are distributed? Should be pretty easy, given that so many people believe it. Well, it didn't work forever, but one can clearly see that most countries of the EU locked down in March/April, which reduced cases massively. They then held cases at a low level until September/October. This is much better performance than the US, where on a country basis, the numbers basically never went down, and are now increasing massively from a much higher base. Sure, it's not causality but it's suggestive evidence.