2 ms·
"It is more like 0.5%-1% (if not more), and the IFR once you hit 65+ is 1.5% and rises quickly." The current best estimates of IFR for SARS-CoV2 are: * 0-19 y
by timr 6y ago
"It is more like 0.5%-1% (if not more), and the IFR once you hit 65+ is 1.5% and rises quickly."
The current best estimates of IFR for SARS-CoV2 are:
* 0-19 years: 0.00003 (0.003%)
* 20-49 years: 0.0002 (0.02%)
* 50-69 years: 0.005 (0.5%)
* 70+ years: 0.054. (5.4%)
https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/hcp/planning-scenarios.html https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/hcp/planning-scena...
- mmastrac 6y agohttps://www.imperial.ac.uk/mrc-global-infectious-disease-analysis/covid-19/report-34-ifr/ https://www.imperial.ac.uk/mrc-global-infectious-disease-ana... "Using these age-specific estimates, we estimate the overall IFR in a typical low-income country, with a population structure skewed towards younger individuals, to be 0.23% (0.14-0.42 95% prediction interval range). In contrast, in a typical high income country, with a greater concentration of elderly individuals, we estimate the overall IFR to be 1.15% (0.78-1.79 95% prediction interval range)."
- timr 6y agoThere have been dozens of papers in this area, primarily differing (as does your link) in the assumed balance of ages in a society. The CDC citation is aggregating these studies, and (essentially) picking the middle. Cherry picking a single study from the larger pool is not a rebuttal.