> First, deaths aren't the only measure. For every death there are many more people that just barely survive after a hospital stay, and data suggests a signific

> First, deaths aren't the only measure. For every death there are many more people that just barely survive after a hospital stay, and data suggests a significant amount of those people will have long-term problems. ...where long-term means a few months at most. People do recover, just uncomfortably slowly. > Second, if the hospitals are overloaded by such people (even if most of them survive) then the IFR of Covid can rise higher than 0.5-1%. I'm not so sure about that. These IFR estimates haven't changed much since spring, when half of those hospitalized died.[1,2,3] Our treatment methods have improved since then. If the estimates reflected the IFR with treatment, they would be lower today. So I think an IFR of 0.5-1% is actually the worst case. Unfortunately, I haven't been able to find any source explicitly comparing death rates with vs without treatment. [1] https://www.thelancet.com/journals/laninf/article/PIIS1473-30992030243-7/fulltext https://www.thelancet.com/journals/laninf/article/PIIS1473-3... [2] https://in.dental-tribune.com/news/new-estimate-by-the-cdc-brings-down-the-covid-19-death-rate-to-just-0-26-as-against-whos-3-4/ https://in.dental-tribune.com/news/new-estimate-by-the-cdc-b... [3] https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/32234121/ https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/32234121/