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That's assuming people live close together and don't make a quarterly or yearly trek into town for supplies. A much larger portion of the world's population liv
by jjeaff 6y ago
That's assuming people live close together and don't make a quarterly or yearly trek into town for supplies. A much larger portion of the world's population lived in rural areas back then. The virus only has a 14 day or so window to infect people. If people only come into contact once a month on average, that will seriously inhibit the virus.
- nradov 6y agoStill irrelevant. Lower population densities and slower travel only slightly retard the spread of a pandemic. It reached almost all population centers in less than a year. Even in 1889 people could cross the Atlantic Ocean in about 6 days. Wealthier countries had railroad service between all major cities. Most rural US residents would typically go into town or church at least once a week.
- Bombthecat 6y agoThen it should be over in march, then it's one year. I have big big doubts about that...
- nradov 6y agoI never claimed it would be "over" in a year, and there is no reason to expect that.