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our response to the virus has caused more harm to more people than the virus itself, and the goalposts to end restrictions keep moving once the previous criteri
by grillvogel 6y ago
our response to the virus has caused more harm to more people than the virus itself, and the goalposts to end restrictions keep moving once the previous criteria are met.
where is your 2% number coming from?
CDC estimates the infection fatality ratio as:
0-19 years: 0.00003
20-49 years: 0.0002
50-69 years: 0.005
70+ years: 0.054
https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/hcp/planning-scenarios.html https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/hcp/planning-scena...
- Dylan16807 6y ago> our response to the virus has caused more harm to more people than the virus itself That can happen from failure or from success. The far more important comparison is response vs. what the virus would have done without that response. > the goalposts to end restrictions keep moving once the previous criteria are met Criteria like what? The only one I've seen is trying to get the rate of spread down and we really haven't managed that.
- dragonwriter 6y ago> our response to the virus has caused more harm to more people than the virus itself, That’s not a bad thing. A bad thing would be if our response caused more harm that the additional harm the virus would have caused but for the response, but that it caused more than it allowed the virus to cause is not a problem. > and the goalposts to end restrictions keep moving once the previous criteria are met. No, they haven't. It's true that both the restrictions in place in some jurisdictions and the criteria for step down have been revised based on better understanding of the virus and associated activity-related risks, but that's not the same thing (and has resulted in loosening of some restrictions directly and easing of some criteria, as well as tightening other a restrictions and criteria.) But they haven't moved in response to meeting preexisting criteria. You think we should just ignore new information ?