He is smart enough to know that western powers would never intervene. Putin actually profits from a weak Lukashenko because he can fortify the position of Russi

He is smart enough to know that western powers would never intervene. Putin actually profits from a weak Lukashenko because he can fortify the position of Russia in Belarus, which still is a pretty bad dictatorship, worse than Russia itself as a "Soviet Socialist Republic". Putin knows that Lukashenko pretty much has to do everything he asks for. I think Lukashenko wants to provoke here to either legitimize his crackdown or wants Russia getting involved in a war against "terrorism".