3 ms·
"The death rate alone is ~0.8%." It is not. The current estimates for IFR run from ~0.2-0.7%. The current best estimate of IFR from the CDC is 0.65%, with the
by timr 6y ago
"The death rate alone is ~0.8%."
It is not.
The current estimates for IFR run from ~0.2-0.7%. The current best estimate of IFR from the CDC is 0.65%, with the deaths skewed heavily to the elderly and infirm.
https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/hcp/planning-scenarios.html https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/hcp/planning-scena...
- tigershark 6y agoCDC estimate, just 1 week ago, before this catastrophic correction, was 0.25% or something similar. MONTHS ago we had the results from a huge Spanish study that put the mortality rate at around 1% and it was perfectly coherent with the Italian and New York studies. Why should we believe their current estimate when we have multiple results that actually give us a pretty high confidence of the actual mortality rate instead of looking at what seem like completely random figures?