Just for information (i've said this multiple time on HN, i'm rambling), ive heard from my cousin (urgentist at Colmar) that he had a 26 yo young woman with lun

Just for information (i've said this multiple time on HN, i'm rambling), ive heard from my cousin (urgentist at Colmar) that he had a 26 yo young woman with lung fibrosis who wasn't hospitalized while she was infected. That said, you're totally right, tissue scarring seems to be closer to 5% than 20%. And the IFR in France was predicted around april to be close to .7%, .8% for males. So far the prediction were right, so you should table for something around that in the US with a younger population, but more diabetes and obesity. Now that new treatments are found for the worst cases, this could be lowered further imo. Hearth scarring is not really a problem if it does not cause arythmia. Lung scarring, however, can shove ten year of your life expectancy (and not the worst ten years, it works a bit like a thyroid ablation were you just age faster).