The major tech players have been consistently growing for decades. The major tech players before them likewise grew for decades. It's hard to know if you're j

The major tech players have been consistently growing for decades. The major tech players before them likewise grew for decades. It's hard to know if you're joining IBM in 2010 or Google/Apple in 2000 though. You can simplify the problem if you're comparing 150k in equity from a top-5 tech company by market cap with a 5+ year history of > 15% YoY stock growth vs. 150k in startup options. How much money are you potentially leaving on the table by not working at the large company? What does the return rate need to be on a 4 year time horizon for the startup equity to be worth it?