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Yes, we could and should make policy under the best data available even if we'd prefer better ones.
by anoncake 6y ago
Yes, we could and should make policy under the best data available even if we'd prefer better ones.
- SpicyLemonZest 6y agoI don't think that's true. It's very dangerous to make epidemic policy without accounting for model uncertainty, because by the time your model's clearly and unambiguously falsified it may be too late to deal with it.
- anoncake 6y agoNo, not at all. Of course the model may underestimate the lethality, but it may also overestimate it so it evens out.