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Lockdown just slows the spread it doesn't stop it. Eventually you will need to get herd immunity. People without health care or sick leave will still eventuall
by partyboat1586 6y ago
Lockdown just slows the spread it doesn't stop it. Eventually you will need to get herd immunity.
People without health care or sick leave will still eventually get coronavirus. The reason for lockdown is to make sure that hospitals are not overrun. It doesn't solve America's other problems.
The idea that you can get the r value low enough that it dies out completely doesn't work because it would need to be consistent across states and countries. There will always be pockets of coronavirus unless you lockdown to the point of no economic return.
- LorenPechtel 6y agoThis is assuming no vaccine, no precautions possible, no improved treatment. This is an incorrect model. We can stop it now--masks are required in public unless you have a doctor-diagnosed breathing disorder. Put some real teeth in the laws. That will drive R0 to below 1 and the virus will go away.
- noobaccount 6y agoWhat’s the timescale? What “teeth” do the laws need? How do you manage the phenomenon of psychological reactance? Asking because while the theory may be sound, translation isn’t a given. And pursuing a policy without regard to feasibility may be counterproductive.
- ashtonkem 6y agoI think anything more than a minor citation is probably not achievable, and even that might be bad. Given the current state of policing in America, the idea of leaning on the police to enforce mask rules is personally unpalatable. What we really need is a social change on this issue, but that requires leadership from the top that we’re not getting.
- partyboat1586 6y agoThere won't be a vaccine within a reasonable timeframe. Improved treatment maybe. Would the number of lives saved from improved treatment be better than the economic cost? You can call me heartless but in the end economic cost also equals lives lost.