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> However, I'm half expecting them to ban him about twelve seconds after he leaves office. At the top management level, they are probably weighing the possibil
by zapita 6y ago
> However, I'm half expecting them to ban him about twelve seconds after he leaves office.
At the top management level, they are probably weighing the possibility that he never leaves office (a plausible scenario at this point), and how that scenario affects their bottom line.
They probably don’t want US institutions to dissolve into full-blown autocracy... But on the other hand, if that were to happen, then it would be better for the stock price if they hadn’t burned all bridges with the new leader for life.
You can bet that Zuckerberg is making the same calculus - except that he seems to have chosen a side. Facebook is no longer pretending to care about preventing autocracy. They are betting on the GOP coup succeeding, and are building bridges accordingly.
Note: no amount of downvoting by the alt-right fringe lurking here will make the facts go away. Downvote away since you don’t have the courage to write down and justify your true beliefs. You are an embarrassment to the technology community. You are the spineless, petty, cowardly foundation upon which all autocracies are built.
- logicslave 6y ago"they are probably weighing the possibility that he never leaves office" I think you are very far from reality
- BubRoss 6y agoWhen Trump leaves office he will be open to an enormous amount of investigation, litigation and prosecution. I don't know how probable it is that he tries to stay in office, but I don't think it is zero. Twitter planning around that possibility seems be less likely.
- javagram 6y agohttps://slate.com/news-and-politics/2020/02/trump-jokes-rigged-elections-chaos.html https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2020/02/trump-jokes-rigg... > Since assuming office in January 2017, Trump has made at least 27 references to staying in office beyond the constitutional limit of two terms. He often follows up with a remark indicating he is “joking,” “kidding,” or saying it to drive the “fake” news media “crazy.” Even if Trump thinks that he’s only “joking,” the comments fit a broader pattern that raises the prospect that Trump may not leave office quietly in the event he’s on the losing end of a very close election.
- karatestomp 6y agoOTOH people who hated Bush Jr. thought there was a good chance, and some evidence, that he'd find a way to stay in office past his term. Same with Obama.
- 0_gravitas 6y ago"What if I...didn't leave office, as a joke...aha ha, just kidding... unless?"
- throwawaylalala 6y agoThis is how he uses the Overton window to change the conversation. He's very good at this sort of thing.
- zorpner 6y agoHow far do you think he would go in order to try?
- Uhhrrr 6y agoMy personal estimate is zero. He can't really cash in until he leaves office.
- zapita 6y agoWhat makes you think that? What do you think "cashing in" entails, and what do you think prevents the Trump family from doing it now? Also, how would he and his family stay out of jail if they can no longer control the judiciary and FBI?
- Uhhrrr 6y agoCashing in entails: -Large book deal, with title "Winning: How I Made America Great Again Despite All The Dummy Losers In Washington" -Some sort of talk show or network -But mostly, going back to licensing the use of his name all over the place As for staying out of jail, he might not, but I suspect a combination of fuzzily enforced regulations and big money lawyers will keep him out.
- zapita 6y agoI don't think you appreciate the magnitude of what is happening in the US at the moment. The federal government is being stripped for parts, as we speak. Entire agencies have been gutted. Industrial conglomerates can literally regulate their own industries - for a price. Foreign leaders can influence foreign policy - for a price. Federally endicted criminals can get out of jail as if nothing had happened - for a price. The level of grift and corruption is unlike anything the US has ever known. If Trump remains in power - which he is absolutely planning to do at all cost - it will only get worse. The end game for him is to create a new dynasty of oligarchs - at the same level of the Saudi royal family or Putin. Compared to that, the book deals and talk shows are nothing - crumbs. He wants to join the club. And that requires staying in power so that he can 1) continue stealing billions from the US public, and 2) continue corrupting the federal government to stay out of jail.
- chasd00 6y agovery very far from reality. i heard the same thing from liberal friends about GWB and i heard the same thing from conservative friends about Obama.
- magna7 6y agoComparing GWB to Trump is a bit disingenuous, don't you think? Trump is an actual wannabe autocrat, as opposed to GWB and Obama.
- wernercd 6y agoAnd yet Obama jailed journalists and worked towards instituting Socialist ideas - which include a ruling class. Meanwhile, Trumps only "autocrat" proof is words? He talks snit... What has he done to become a King? Nothing he's done so far isn't powers used by previous Presidents - including Obama. What actual has Trump taken to expand Presidential powers? And what steps has Trump taken to become a King? Because until actual actions are taken... words are just Trump talking shit. Which he's allowed to do...
- ForHackernews 6y agoHe's neutered the justice department[0] and he's packing the federal judiciary with ideologues to the exclusion of sober-minded jurists. He's firing inspectors general tasked with oversight of the executive.[1] [0] https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2020/05/attack-fundamental-principle-justice/611395/ https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2020/05/attack-fun... [1] https://www.nytimes.com/2020/05/16/us/politics/trump-state-dept-inspector-general.html https://www.nytimes.com/2020/05/16/us/politics/trump-state-d...
- JoeJonathan 6y agoObama jailed a journalist? Who? What do you mean by socialism? What socialist ideas did Obama institute? What is the "ruling class" within socialism? Regarding Trump: what do you make of him removing the inspector general who had opened an investigation against Pompeo? What do you make of him pushing out Jeff Sessions because Sessions recused himself from the Muller investigation? Put another way: what would count as stepping toward autocracy, other than an explicit suspension of Congress or the like? Barring outright coups, these things happen incrementally. See Hungary, Brazil, etc.
- goatherders 6y agoI dont.
- montagg 6y agoI'd love to live in this world, but it is not one I think anyone can afford to live in. This man is a true narcissist who has very little respect for the office, the institutions he's responsible for, or more than half the country. All sorts of things that were very far from reality are no longer. But I would love to be able to agree with you. That would be a better world. But the world we live in is where the President says "when the looting starts, the shooting starts," a racist dog whistle to the 1960s, who "jokes" about staying past any term limits, where enablers in Congress and in the media allow him to toe the line of criminal behavior with no accountability as long as it benefits them. That's reality. I wish it were different, but I cannot take your position and reconcile it with what's in front of us today.
- dahdum 6y agoTrump barely has support now, nothing close to the widespread popularity he’d need to refuse to leave office. There’s about a 0% chance the Supreme Court goes along with it, and without an election the Presidency automatically transfers. He’d also have to be astoundingly popular among the Secret Service for them to betray their oaths. His military support would tank, and him, his family, and administration would be in constant fear for their lives. IMO, he’s just not that insane, stupid, or popular enough to even try.
- lazide 6y agoNot going to weigh in more generally - but he seems to be doing pretty fine according to recent polls https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/trump-approval-ratings/ https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/trump-approval-ratings/
- dahdum 6y agoWell enough to pass some policy, but not enough to seize power through popularity. He’d undoubtedly lose significant (I’d wager most) Republican voters, and all semblance of a mandate. The idea drives a lot of clicks and ad views though, so I’m sure we’ll see many more speculative articles before the election.
- iateanapple 6y ago> no amount of downvoting by the alt-right fringe lurking here will make the facts go away. What facts? What alt-right fringe? Trump was voted in by tens of millions of Americans and still has tens of millions of supporters. > At the top management level, they are probably weighing the possibility that he never leaves office (a plausible scenario at this point) Trump is in his 70s... > since you don’t have the courage to write down and justify your true beliefs What true beliefs are you hinting at here and why would they take courage to write down?
- deleted 6y ago[deleted]
- kleer001 6y agoI'm not any of those things. I'm just down voting you on the basis you're complaining about down votes with personal attacks.
- cmurf 6y agoI agree that this system is more fragile than most people think; somehow almost preferring automatic government than the tediousness that functioning democracy requires. And sometimes people get a rude reminder of this. I do not agree that the scenario you're talking about is probable (which is indicated by plausible). Perhaps you mean possible? Sure, but in that case it's also possible money instantly has no meaning, there is no Congress, there are no states, there are no judges or generals, there are no prison sentences, there are no laws at all whatsoever. Nothing matters, everything is possible. That is a sense of unpredictability a society does not trend toward no matter how ill it is. But try to understand that completely ending all constitutional order is not how revolutions tend to progress. Even in the U.S. civil war, there were two (federal) constitutions in place for two sets of states. There was order, even in that chaos. I agree Trump has autocratic tendencies. But he is a weak minded fool. He will not make for a strong autocrat, he even contradicts himself and dithers too much for this. He is Side Show Bob. He's a distraction. To succeed he would need a very high percentage of authority, trust, and compliance - and there's just no way he's going to get that. I question whether he even does something to sabotage the election. On January 20th his term of office expires. At noon he is not the POTUS if there's been no election. Further, there's no House of Representatives, because their term expires on January 3rd. And 1/3 of Senators are not Senators. But at 12:01pm on January 20th, there is a person who will become POTUS without an election. And that's the President pro tempore of the Senate. Following that, the states will surely already be figuring out how to reinstitute the House through either appointments or new elections. It's not up to the federal government. But to pass new laws, including a new election to make up for the delayed one, we'll need a Congress. That has never happened. I can tell you many examples from history, things that are way more likely than any of this. Including from American history. Some of those things are violent, even in fact violent for just one person, that are way more likely than autocracy. Trump's best chance is for the election to proceed. So, while you can't for sure predict what's going to happen next, just try to have some imagination for rare events that have happened rather than events that have never happened. Trump is a chickenshit asshole but that's like, the least remarkable or interesting thing going on here, because he's been a chickenshit asshole his whole life - not news! And that doesn't really highly qualify (or disqualify) him as an autocrat. He's not going to be one because he's just too incompetent and steps on his own dick every chance he gets. Just try to calm down, let him have enough rope to hang himself, and he will.
- deleted 6y ago[deleted]
- cameronbrown 6y ago> At the top management level, they are probably weighing the possibility that he never leaves office Statements like this won't get you taken seriously.
- dang 6y agoYou've been breaking the site guidelines repeatedly lately. That's not cool. Emotions are inflamed right now, and that makes it more important, not less, to follow these rules: https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html
- zapita 6y agoYes, it appears that I have.