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Your statement is an error in interpreting polls. Polls cannot tell you who will win the election, only the probability of each result. Trump has about a 30% ch
by nutjob2 6y ago
Your statement is an error in interpreting polls. Polls cannot tell you who will win the election, only the probability of each result. Trump has about a 30% chance of winning according to the polls.
The polls themselves were no less accurate as they have been historically, on average. They were not wrong, but have always had the limitation of only representing probabilities.
- Simulacra 6y agoThey were not wrong? I think FiveThirtyEight would disagree with you. Their polling showed Hillary would win. They were mostly confident in that poll, and yet only one (Los Angeles Times) was correct. https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/why-fivethirtyeight-gave-trump-a-better-chance-than-almost-anyone-else/ https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/why-fivethirtyeight-gav...