3 ms·
I hear this sentiment often lately. But it always looked like 0.6-1 percent deathrate. Already in february this was suggested by one of the researchers at Hopki
by toshk 6y ago
I hear this sentiment often lately. But it always looked like 0.6-1 percent deathrate. Already in february this was suggested by one of the researchers at Hopkins, based on the nrs of South Korea at the time. And it's still around that percentage with the latest studies in Europe. Even though it sounds low, that's still a lot of deaths if left uncontrolled.
- nradov 6y agoThe latest data indicates an infection fatality rate of about 0.3%. https://www.sfgate.com/news/editorspicks/article/Los-Angeles-antibody-study-coronavirus-mortality-15283660.php https://www.sfgate.com/news/editorspicks/article/Los-Angeles...
- toshk 6y agoLatest study in Spain around 1-1.3. 70,000 participants. https://english.elpais.com/society/2020-05-14/antibody-study-shows-just-5-of-spaniards-have-contracted-the-coronavirus.html https://english.elpais.com/society/2020-05-14/antibody-study... Most studies in Europe show this: 0,5 - 1.
- rsynnott 6y agoNYC and Stockholm antibody tests would indicate an IFR more like 1% or a little over. Though I'd be cautious about being too confident in antibody study results, for now. A lot can depend on test accuracy (especially where covid is rare anyway).
- radioactivist 6y agoThat study (and the related Santa Clara study by a subset of the same authors) were torn apart by statisticians for the shoddy methodology and irresponsible selling of its results to the media.