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And, reopening with 1/3 of the testing capacity necessary to do so seems wise to you? I hope you don't have any elderly relatives in the area, or any health co
by pmiller2 6y ago
And, reopening with 1/3 of the testing capacity necessary to do so seems wise to you? I hope you don't have any elderly relatives in the area, or any health conditions that would predispose you to a severe case.
- SpicyLemonZest 6y agoI don't agree with the premise. Remember that the full reopening will include extremely high-contact locations like schools, restaurants, bars, and movie theaters. It seems plausible that a limited reopening of only retail and manufacturing is safe with a third of the full amount.
- pmiller2 6y agoCitation needed.
- SpicyLemonZest 6y agoThere's no way to rigorously determine how many tests are needed. The original threshold was an educated guess, and the new phased reopening policy is a different educated guess; all we'll ever have available is educated guesses. The best possible citation is that health officers across the Bay Area have said it's time to start reopening.
- pmiller2 6y agoSo, you don't believe we can answer that question with modeling? You don't believe these testing capacity numbers were constructed by public health officials using the best available modeling data? Is that what you're saying? Or, are you saying you're qualified to guess that 1/3 of the required number is sufficient for phase 2 opening?
- SpicyLemonZest 6y agoI believe that, whatever process they went through to generate the first set of numbers, they went through that same process to determine it's safe to reopen now. 1/3 doesn't seem like such an obviously wrong number that I have to suspect undue influence.
- pmiller2 6y agoOk, then, explain to me why Santa Clara disagrees. Partially reopening with more cases and more deaths per day, and 1/3 the testing capacity they claim would be safe for a full reopening does not seem to compute.
- SpicyLemonZest 6y agoI agree there's an inconsistency. The obvious explanation for why 8 counties think it's safe and Santa Clara thinks it's not is that Santa Clara is just wrong.
- pmiller2 6y agoSo, the other 8 counties are totally right that trying to start re-opening with 1/3 the required testing capacity and insufficient PPE, while simultaneously having more cases and deaths than would be happening under a full reopen scenario? Is that what you're saying? What do you think Santa Clara's reasoning for disagreeing is?
- kortilla 6y agoYou need to calm down and stop being so hostile to someone who is having a discussion in good faith. If you have a point, just make it. Don’t ask a bunch of leading rhetorical questions.
- tinus_hn 6y agoThis is not Wikipedia.