4 ms·
I've seen very different information on how long "for a long time" is. Even just writing "for a long time" makes me wonder, if you have a range, why not give it
by amiga_500 6y ago
I've seen very different information on how long "for a long time" is. Even just writing "for a long time" makes me wonder, if you have a range, why not give it?
The figure for immunity duration at say 95th percentile seems to be the key figure for herd immunity being viable or not, at least to my layman eyes.
- SpicyLemonZest 6y agoIt's hard to put a concrete number on how long immunity lasts, because immunity isn't a binary process. All the experts I've seen discuss the issue have said we can expect recovered people won't catch it again this calendar year.
- timmytokyo 6y agoThat's just speculation because no one has had the virus for a year. Please stop adding certainty where it is unwarranted. Either supply citations to expert authorities, or be quiet. Otherwise you're just spreading misinformation.
- xamuel 6y agoWouldn't this kind of reasoning apply to every new virus, including new flu viruses that pop up routinely? A new virus pops up and appears to be just a routine flu, but technically we can't know about its long term side effects until many years later. So why don't we apply this same reasoning and lock everything down routinely whenever any new flu virus arises? It seems to me that you're right, we can't know for certain until many years later, but in the meantime the world goes on, we can't all just cryogenically freeze ourselves. The best we can do is make educated guesses based on previously existing coronaviruses.
- Izkata 6y agoI don't think they do have a range. I saw a slide a month or so ago that showed how long antibodies last for various viruses, and the range was something like 3 months to life. We simply have no idea how long SARS-CoV-2 antibodies will last.