4 ms·
It seems like their simulated model makes certain members of a population less ‘active’ and so at less parametric risk of infection/transmission than in a model
by medymed 6y ago
It seems like their simulated model makes certain members of a population less ‘active’ and so at less parametric risk of infection/transmission than in a model where everyone is active. This is useful, and/but doesn’t appear to be Covid-19 specific.
- SpicyLemonZest 6y agoIt isn't, and the same phenomenon has been observed in other cases. The 2009 swine flu for example had R0 estimated between 1.4-1.6, yielding a theoretical herd immunity threshold of 29%-33%, but estimates of how many people were actually infected range from 11%-21%.
- jaynetics 6y agoI thought their point was that highly active people will have been infected in greater numbers after a lockdown, numbers that are even more divergent than without a lockdown, and thus less other people will need to get infected.