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As someone who has been closely engaged in the tech world, but is outside of the culture of Silicon Valley, one cultural pattern I've noticed over and over agai
by CPLX 7y ago
As someone who has been closely engaged in the tech world, but is outside of the culture of Silicon Valley, one cultural pattern I've noticed over and over again is the tendency for people in SV to state with utter confidence and conviction that we'll all be living our lives completely differently than we have been by this time next year, and it will be a permanent and culturally sweeping change.
The fact that inevitably only about 10% of those transformations turn out to be sort of true, and happen 10x slower than predicted, never seems to break this cycle of breathless certainty.
Maybe it's true, maybe this is really it, and the whole idea of closely clustered cities around shared commercial goals and people working closely together in the real world is finally ending. We shall see.
- xenihn 7y ago10% is still pretty good.
- CPLX 7y agoIndeed, very impressive. And Silicon Valley is quite a powerhouse of wealth creation. But the point still stands.
- economicslol 7y agoSeen an anecdote saying we overestimate the impact of a technology over 5 years but underestimate it over 10 years. Seems relevant here
- Mvandenbergh 7y agoThat's part of the magic though. When you reach the state where you both believe (it's useful motivation) and don't believe (because you're not a fool) that what you're doing is definitely going to change the world, you have achieved SV enlightenment.