4 ms·

See fig 3 here: https://science.sciencemag.org/content/early/2020/04/24/science.abb5793 https://science.sciencemag.org/content/early/2020/04/24/scie... Short a

by mmmrtl 6y ago

See fig 3 here: https://science.sciencemag.org/content/early/2020/04/24/science.abb5793 https://science.sciencemag.org/content/early/2020/04/24/scie... Short answer, if the immunity is as short lived as current seasonal coronaviruses, it would be expected to recur in 2022 (hopefully with milder symptoms, but we can't know that yet).

rootusrootus 6y ago
Assuming immunity is both short-lived and predictably so for everyone. If the amount of immunity varies significantly by individual, then it’ll just be an ongoing slow burn and not another spike of infections. And that also assumes that at a slow burn it would be able to maintain R0 > 1.0.
- mmmrtl 6y ago
  Good point. If seasonal effects are strong enough, though, it might still recur in periodic spikes.
dehrmann 6y ago
Is it possible to give someone known to have antibodies an live virus booster every six months?
- SpicyLemonZest 6y ago
  In principle it might work, but there's no realistic chance doctors would get permission to administer or even test such a thing.