That lower-bound argument is overly simplistic. There are huge error bars on that ratio, because "the population of NYC" is not something easily defined, and t

That lower-bound argument is overly simplistic. There are huge error bars on that ratio, because "the population of NYC" is not something easily defined, and the death count (at this time) includes a lot of "excess deaths" that almost certainly have nothing to do with the virus (e.g. untreated cardiac arrest).