3 ms·
NY has 17x more deaths than California. That would mean if 3% of CA was infected (yes this is LA only but for ease of comparison) it would be 51%+ of NY was inf
by tempsy 7y ago
NY has 17x more deaths than California. That would mean if 3% of CA was infected (yes this is LA only but for ease of comparison) it would be 51%+ of NY was infected. Far more than just 15%.
- arcticbull 7y agoCFR is not a great way of comparing across regions, it could be due to any number of factors. Demographics (i.e. age), co-moribidities and the amount of hospital space available.
- arcticbull 7y agoIn fact the per-country spread of CFR is huge, from a low of 0.07% in Singapore to a high of 14.93% in Belgium, a whole 3 orders of magnitude. The H1N1 influenza CFR at a similar point in the outbreak was between 0.1% and 5.1% -- but the final IFR ended up at 0.02% [1]. [1] https://www.cebm.net/covid-19/global-covid-19-case-fatality-rates/ https://www.cebm.net/covid-19/global-covid-19-case-fatality-...
- SpicyLemonZest 7y agoThe comparison is overweighting LA county, which has 25% of California's population but 60% of its deaths. (I don't know what the math ends up being off the top of my head.)
- BlackJack 7y agoLA is one of the densest parts of CA though, outside of SF/Bay Area. So if LA is 3%, you could assume the state as a whole is maybe 1-2%. Then 17x that becomes 17-34%, which seems more reasonable.