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Your calculation is only true if the economy will jump back to normal after the two months, which will not happen. 3% is VERY optimistic IMHO.
by jansan 7y ago
Your calculation is only true if the economy will jump back to normal after the two months, which will not happen. 3% is VERY optimistic IMHO.
- SpicyLemonZest 7y agoMy calculation leaves out a lot of factors. 20% was a number I pulled out of my arse, many lockdowns are lasting less than 2 months, some things won't go back to normal after lockdowns but normal economic growth won't stop either. I was just trying to say that it's within the realm of reasonability - the number's going to end up being closer to 3% than 30%.