3 ms·
The 15-20% number is very stale. The current numbers are under 3% across that cohort: https://www.thelancet.com/journals/laninf/article/PIIS1473-3099(20)30243-
by bpodgursky 7y ago
The 15-20% number is very stale. The current numbers are under 3% across that cohort: https://www.thelancet.com/journals/laninf/article/PIIS1473-3099(20)30243-7/fulltext https://www.thelancet.com/journals/laninf/article/PIIS1473-3...
0–9 years 0 13 0·00% (0·00–0·00)
10–19 years 1 50 0·0408% (0·0243–0·0832)
20–29 years 49 437 1·04% (0·622–2·13)
30–39 years 124 733 3·43% (2·04–7·00)
40–49 years 154 743 4·25% (2·53–8·68)
50–59 years 222 790 8·16% (4·86–16·7)
60–69 years 201 560 11·8% (7·01–24·0)
70–79 years 133 263 16·6% (9·87–33·8)
≥80 years 51 76 18·4% (11·0–37·6)
- robocat 7y agoMore detail on above: published March 30th, the percentages are expected hospitalisations based on total population of infected (including mild/asymptomatic usually untested). Data is from Table 3 near end of paper, table title: “Estimates of the proportion of all infections that would lead to hospitalisation, obtained from a subset of cases reported in mainland China“