3 ms·
Indeed, If you read my parent post in context, I hope it's clear that I mean currently in Italy, people are not dying at a rate higher than the seasonal flu BU
by joe_the_user 7y ago
Indeed,
If you read my parent post in context, I hope it's clear that I mean currently in Italy, people are not dying at a rate higher than the seasonal flu BUT this has a big potential change if the infection rate were to shoot up (we know this is prevented by extreme quarantine measures, enforced by the army).
- greedo 7y agoYour point still isn't clear or accurate. The worldwide CFR is over 4%. In Italy, it's currently at over 11%. The flu is nowhere near that level of risk. It's normally around 0.1% depending on demographic. Are you saying that the seasonal flu in Italy normally kills 11% of those who become infected? If that's the case, the facts don't bear that out.
- zwily 7y agoBut the CFR is mostly just a function of how many people get tested, no? And Italy seems to only be testing at hospitalization.
- greedo 7y agoAnd how does Italy test the flu? In the US, there's minimal flu testing and most of the metrics are based around surveys.
- SkyPuncher 7y agoI'm not disagreeing with you. However, at this point, some of the flu estimates are actually inferred/modeled by the CDC. The flu is a well-enough study disease that they're able to, relatively accurately, model population statistics based on a sub-set of tested patients.