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From CNN FAQ [1] "How long will we have to keep social distancing? Probably for several months. But you might have to do it “over and over again,” since the ou
by yodsanklai 7y ago
From CNN FAQ [1]
"How long will we have to keep social distancing?
Probably for several months. But you might have to do it “over and over again,” since the outbreak could come in waves.
Research by the Imperial College in Great Britain “would suggest you have to institute these kinds of measures for five months, very vigorously,” said Dr. Celine Gounder, an infectious disease specialist at Bellevue Hospital Center.
“And then you may be able to relax for a period. And then you would re-institute as the cases go up again. But we’re basically looking at doing this over and over and over again, even after a five-month period of strict social distancing, in order to curb cases until we have a vaccine.”
Health officials say we’re at least a year away from the first publicly available coronavirus vaccine. In the meantime, they say everyone should avoid large crowds and stay at least 6 feet away from others."
I hope we can relax the lockdown and still get satisfying results (following some Pareto's principle). For instance, avoiding indoor events maybe a good measure. But avoiding people to go exercise outside isn't really needed? Also, hopefully we'll get masks and tests in a near future and that we'll make it easier to contain the virus too.
[1] https://edition.cnn.com/interactive/2020/health/coronavirus-questions-answers/ https://edition.cnn.com/interactive/2020/health/coronavirus-...
- SpicyLemonZest 7y agoI think they're taking the Imperial model with more credulity than is warranted here. Social distancing for 5 months was the suppression scenario the paper considered, but I don't think anyone believes the current set of severe restrictions could be sustained for that long. 5 months of a ban on large events, maybe.