3 ms·
There is no real consensus regarding IFR yet. I think the best data we have is from Diamond Princess, which is at least 10/712 or ~1.4% and may go up a bit from
by nopinsight 7y ago
There is no real consensus regarding IFR yet. I think the best data we have is from Diamond Princess, which is at least 10/712 or ~1.4% and may go up a bit from unresolved 15 serious/critical cases and 100 more active cases. The population there is older, but also have good care.
If the Diamond Princess age group represents just 20% of a population (they are not all elderly), population IFR must be >= 1.4%/5 = 0.28% and likely higher. 0.28% is above the IFR upper range from the paper in your comment.
“Estimated fatality ratio for infections 1%
Estimated CFR for travellers outside mainland China (mix severe & milder cases) 1%-5%
Estimated CFR for detected cases in Hubei (severe cases) 18%”
By the MRC center at Imperial College:
https://twitter.com/MRC_Outbreak/status/1226765905306234881?s=20 https://twitter.com/MRC_Outbreak/status/1226765905306234881?...