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How would you know they haven’t? If you don’t test a death for the virus, the death doesn’t show up in virus death counts. And if you aren’t in a hospitals, the
by graeme 7y ago
How would you know they haven’t? If you don’t test a death for the virus, the death doesn’t show up in virus death counts. And if you aren’t in a hospitals, the deaths wouldn’t show yet.
At some point it would become too big to ignore. But is Japan there yet? This is definitely a space to watch over the next 2-3 weeks.
- qes 7y agoYou look at death counts overall and for other reasons. The spikes will show up somewhere, if they exist.
- kevin_thibedeau 7y agoThe CDC lumps deaths by pneumonia into its influenza estimates. Presumably epidemiologists would do the same here and just miss the distinction from actual influenza deaths.
- Aeolun 7y agoGiven where they could have been if they’d followed the same trajectory as Italy, I’d say the strain should be visible if it was there.