3 ms·

I think the problem is that the information (and specifically your third source) is misleading. Note in your first source that the CDC estimates _36 to 51 mill

I think the problem is that the information (and specifically your third source) is misleading. Note in your first source that the CDC estimates _36 to 51 million_ flu illnesses this season _in the US_. I'm not sure why your third source says "5 million cases". The flu doesn't originate from a single point geographically every year, as it is already embedded in communities globally. So, even if the current numbers we have for coronavirus infections are off by an order of magnitude, it is easy to reason that once this coronavirus reaches spread at the levels of the flu (i.e., 30-50 million infections _in the US alone_), the death numbers are likely to be much much higher than the seasonal flu.

ghastmaster 7y ago
According to previous CDC link, worldwide known cases and known death numbers give a known mortality rate of 0.041586323. Obviously there are far more cases that are unknown at this point. This would lower the mortality rate. https://www.news-medical.net/news/20200303/Analysis-One-sure-thing-about-COVID-19-No-telling-how-many-people-have-it.aspx https://www.news-medical.net/news/20200303/Analysis-One-sure... >Lipkin noted that because cases observed early in an epidemic are the most severe, early mortality estimates tend to be high. As more information comes out, the death rates are likely to fall. "We're probably six months out from having a good picture, and when we do I'd guess the mortality will drop dramatically," he said.