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We've known this for a while. Everyone will get it. You might have it now. Nothing will happen. Still, quarantine for a while because you'll give it to an older
by DeonPenny 7y ago
We've known this for a while. Everyone will get it. You might have it now. Nothing will happen. Still, quarantine for a while because you'll give it to an older person or kid. This isn't about a 20-something year old getting sick. Let your anti-bodies make yourself non-contagious. We are all kindergartens and this is chickenpox basically.
- chance_state 7y agoI don't want to spread misinformation here, but u thought I had read several times that children are almost immune from symptoms but can still carry it.
- DeonPenny 7y agoYeh but like babies. Or really sickly people.
- alkonaut 7y agoNot even babies, and of thousands of small children I'm sure there have been those exposed that have all kinds of diseases such as severe asthma, diabetes, heard conditions, cystic fibrosis etc. Luckily it seems that small children either don't contract the illness at all, or do so with little to no symptoms.
- nostromo 7y agoCorrect. Not a single child fatality worldwide. This is very different than Spanish Flu and even the regular flu.
- abiogenesis 7y agoThere is one 14 year old who sadly died, but yes, it is close to zero.
- BiteCode_dev 7y agoIf everyone will get it as you say, the elders will too.
- dna_polymerase 7y agoYes, it isn't even about protecting the old. The sole purpose of the quarantines and self distancing is to avoid the healthcare system to collapse. Corona will become a constant companion for mankind, unless people get, one day, broadly vaxxed. But since we can't get people to vax for far worse diseases this won't happen.
- umanwizard 7y agoAgreeing with your point: there is only one human virus thought to have been successfully totally eradicated: smallpox, which plagued humanity from ancient history until the late 1970s. But herd immunity due to widespread (if imperfect) vaccination gets you much of the way there. Assuming flu vaccines continue to work, there probably can't be flu outbreaks that kill tens of millions of people as there have been in the past.
- grey-area 7y agoThat means 1-2 million deaths in the US according to the latest modelling from Imperial Collage London, so it’s likely all countries will proceed to full lockdown for months at some point soon.
- lazzlazzlazz 7y agoAny chance you could link to those models? I searched around and couldn't find them.
- grey-area 7y agohttps://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/sph/ide/gida-fellowships/Imperial-College-COVID19-NPI-modelling-16-03-2020.pdf https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/s... Perhaps our most significant conclusion is that mitigation is unlikely to be feasible without emergency surge capacity limits of the UK and US healthcare systems being exceeded many times over. In the most effective mitigation strategy examined, which leads to a single, relatively short epidemic (case isolation, household quarantine and social distancing of the elderly), the surge limits for both general ward and ICU beds would be exceeded by at least 8-fold under the more optimistic scenario for critical care requirements that we examined. In addition, even if all patients were able to be treated, we predict there would still be in the order of 250,000 deaths in GB, and 1.1-1.2 million in the US.
- lazzlazzlazz 7y agoExcellent. Thank you.
- kart23 7y agoThis just isnt true. Look at china. Their new cases per day have now dropped to effectively zero. Under 100,000 people got it, and deaths are around 6,000. Keep in mind this is for a population of 1.3 Billion. US population is 300 million. Please explain how 2 million people are gonna die in this country.
- gnicholas 7y agoI have read a couple places that there is a worry that becoming ill may not generate long-lasting immunity — possibly only for a few months.