5 ms·

How can I model the type of interaction between people. For example :is school a stronger vector of propagation than workplace ? I ask because everybody in my

by wiz21c 7y ago

How can I model the type of interaction between people. For example :is school a stronger vector of propagation than workplace ? I ask because everybody in my country talks about what to stop (restaurants, culture,...) but never explain why working is considered less of a problem... (I have my little idea but well, ain't sure)

baq 7y ago
when economy shuts down, more people die of malnutrition than of the virus.
- pbhjpbhj 7y ago
  Covid19 doesn't seem deadly enough to get us to that stage, thankfully. Unlike MERS/SARS/Ebola.
JamesBarney 7y ago
School is a bigger issues because children are usually are much closer together, are in the same room with far more people, and have far more interaction that adults at a typical job.
brigandish 7y ago
Tell a child to stop touching things and see how many things they touch, where they put their fingers, how many times they pick their nose etc and then you'll know. It'll only take a few minutes.
- Consultant32452 7y ago
  My friend was in an airport recently. A mother dutifully used hand sanitizer on her 3 year old's hands. Within one minute the child had put their hands on every surface within a meter: arm rests, seat cushions, under the seat where the boogers and gum are, the floor, etc.
pbhjpbhj 7y ago
This https://www.pnas.org/content/116/27/13174 https://www.pnas.org/content/116/27/13174 is a good paper, it gives numbers from actual school closures (in Russia), compares with areas where schools weren't closed, creates models for some scenarios too. It would be interesting, possibly instructive to take a SIMS town and use it to model an epidemic.
- wiz21c 7y ago
  Thx for the article. I've skimmed through it. Looks like closing schools averts 30% of cases. Not bad. But interestingly, in my country, I've never heard of a school closed because of influenza...
gringoDan 7y ago
Apparently school closures work very well because it also forces adults to stay home from work to take care of their children. Source: https://samharris.org/podcasts/190-respond-coronavirus/ https://samharris.org/podcasts/190-respond-coronavirus/

by wiz21c 7y ago

baq 7y ago

when economy shuts down, more people die of malnutrition than of the virus.

pbhjpbhj 7y ago
Covid19 doesn't seem deadly enough to get us to that stage, thankfully. Unlike MERS/SARS/Ebola.

JamesBarney 7y ago

School is a bigger issues because children are usually are much closer together, are in the same room with far more people, and have far more interaction that adults at a typical job.

brigandish 7y ago

Tell a child to stop touching things and see how many things they touch, where they put their fingers, how many times they pick their nose etc and then you'll know. It'll only take a few minutes.

Consultant32452 7y ago
My friend was in an airport recently. A mother dutifully used hand sanitizer on her 3 year old's hands. Within one minute the child had put their hands on every surface within a meter: arm rests, seat cushions, under the seat where the boogers and gum are, the floor, etc.

pbhjpbhj 7y ago

This https://www.pnas.org/content/116/27/13174 https://www.pnas.org/content/116/27/13174 is a good paper, it gives numbers from actual school closures (in Russia), compares with areas where schools weren't closed, creates models for some scenarios too. It would be interesting, possibly instructive to take a SIMS town and use it to model an epidemic.

wiz21c 7y ago
Thx for the article. I've skimmed through it. Looks like closing schools averts 30% of cases. Not bad. But interestingly, in my country, I've never heard of a school closed because of influenza...

gringoDan 7y ago

Apparently school closures work very well because it also forces adults to stay home from work to take care of their children. Source: https://samharris.org/podcasts/190-respond-coronavirus/ https://samharris.org/podcasts/190-respond-coronavirus/