I watched a presentation/session by Norwegian directorate of health that included some comments from Italy [1]. I think they shed some light on the mortality ra

I watched a presentation/session by Norwegian directorate of health that included some comments from Italy [1]. I think they shed some light on the mortality rate - in effect 50% of those intubated died. And they were some percentage of those needing icu care. Assuming the icus are overrun, and all ventilators taken - all of those patients would be dead. So (given the size of population, and relative lack of ventilators) - in an actual uncontrolled spread, I think we will/would see much higher mortality rates than we've seen so far. I hope the UK won't be the first to prove that (I suspect the US might be the first to do so). Or indeed, maybe Iran already has. I heard there was mentioned that in areas hard hit in China, where low(ish) mortality rates were reported, they were also desperately seeking more people for [1] in English, starts at 4h mark: https://youtu.be/LtWti5prxzg?t=4h https://youtu.be/LtWti5prxzg?t=4h