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The case fatality rate is not something that can be applied across the world; it's specific to regions, to the corrective measures used, and to time. The CFR in
by greedo 7y ago
The case fatality rate is not something that can be applied across the world; it's specific to regions, to the corrective measures used, and to time. The CFR in China/Wuhan was initially around 20% since there was a steep learning curve. By Feb 1 it had dropped to around 5%.
Currently, the global CFR is around 3%. In China, almost 4%. The CFR for the rest of the world (excluding China) is almost 2%.
https://ourworldindata.org/coronavirus https://ourworldindata.org/coronavirus
- SpicyLemonZest 7y agoThe CFR is just the number of known COVID deaths divided by the number of known COVID infections. There's no reason that number should be a good estimate of the question people are asking, "how likely is the average person who gets COVID-19 to die", and as I mentioned medical professionals are pretty unanimously agreed it isn't.
- greedo 7y agoSo you disagree with the WHO about the current CFR?
- SpicyLemonZest 7y agoAgain, the current CFR as calculated by the WHO is a mathematical artifact. I trust that they're accurately reporting the numbers they measured, and agree that dividing their death count by their case count yields 3.4%, but I don't agree (and don't think they said) that this is an accurate estimate of how deadly the virus is likely to be.