4 ms·
30% of the population is over 60. Only 17% of the Chinese`population is over 60. We should expect to see a devastating impact on Italy with a much higher CFR.
by anonuser123456 7y ago
30% of the population is over 60.
Only 17% of the Chinese`population is over 60.
We should expect to see a devastating impact on Italy with a much higher CFR.
https://www.populationpyramid.net/italy/2020/ https://www.populationpyramid.net/italy/2020/
- adventured 7y agoAnd yet Germany (median age 48, nearly the oldest in the world, slightly older than Italy and similar to Japan) has seen only two deaths so far out of ~1,100 cases. I've yet to see a definitive explanation for the extreme difference between what we're seeing in Italy vs South Korea vs Germany when it comes to mortality rates. Italy has a developed-world, universal healthcare system. Perhaps the cases in Germany are not far enough in yet to produce a higher rate of death (seems unlikely, in many cases elsewhere older patients are dying rapidly). The only explanation that seems plausible that I've seen, is that their healthcare system (locally) was quickly overwhelmed and they're leaving the worst cases to die, unable to tend to them.
- Barrin92 7y agoanother fairly obvious explanation would also be that the Italy's numbers are underreported and there's significantly more sick people, which would also explain the healthcare breakdown. Because I have no real explanation how a few hundred people on ventilators are supposed to bring the healthcare system down.
- roywiggins 7y agoHere's an interview with another doctor in Milan. https://www.cbc.ca/radio/asithappens/as-it-happens-monday-edition-1.5491009/italians-must-follow-rules-and-stay-home-to-stop-coronavirus-disaster-says-doctor-1.5491013 https://www.cbc.ca/radio/asithappens/as-it-happens-monday-ed...