5 ms·

I'm curious, do we have good data on typical influenza infection rates per month, and if so, are we seeing a sooner than expected drop in influenza transmission

I'm curious, do we have good data on typical influenza infection rates per month, and if so, are we seeing a sooner than expected drop in influenza transmissions? I figure it would be a good gauge of how well people are adopting safer hygiene protocols.

hdjrorkdk 7y ago
Way too soon for that, but it will be investigated in the future.
SpicyLemonZest 7y ago
Influenza statistics vary so heavily year-to-year, I expect it'd be hard to detect the change no matter how well people are adopting better hygiene.
krrrh 7y ago
This has been seen in Hong Kong already. It's been noted that residents there were very receptive to social distancing measures due to their experience with SARS in 2003. Data provided by the government’s Centre for Health Protection show the incidence of infection with influenza had fallen to less than 1 per cent by the end of February, marking an end to the winter flu season, which normally extends to the end of March or into April. ... Ho Pak-leung, a leading microbiologist at the University of Hong Kong, said data showed the flu season had shortened from an average of 98.7 days to 34 days this year. https://www.ft.com/content/ad7ae6b4-5eab-11ea-b0ab-339c2307bcd4 https://www.ft.com/content/ad7ae6b4-5eab-11ea-b0ab-339c2307b... * Twitter link to above to possibly bypass paywall: https://twitter.com/Birdyword/status/1236491746541895685?s=20 https://twitter.com/Birdyword/status/1236491746541895685?s=2...
- perl4ever 7y ago
  "It's been noted that residents there were very receptive to social distancing measures due to their experience with SARS in 2003" It's going to be interesting how society changes as a result of this, for those of us who live through it.
  - wyattpeak 7y ago
    > for those of us who live through it Please don't needlessly add drama to the already fairly panicked response. Virtually everyone under the age of seventy will live through it. The death rate for young to middle-aged adults is two or three per thousand.
    - bagacrap 7y ago
      I think that gp was adding respect for the deceased, not drama.
      - perl4ever 7y ago
        I've noticed people take offense if you mention that the survival rate is 99.5% if you're under about 50. Because you're minimizing the seriousness. I'm not surprised that people take offense if you imply that some people will still die, because you're contributing to the hysteria.

hdjrorkdk 7y ago

Way too soon for that, but it will be investigated in the future.

SpicyLemonZest 7y ago

Influenza statistics vary so heavily year-to-year, I expect it'd be hard to detect the change no matter how well people are adopting better hygiene.

krrrh 7y ago

This has been seen in Hong Kong already. It's been noted that residents there were very receptive to social distancing measures due to their experience with SARS in 2003. Data provided by the government’s Centre for Health Protection show the incidence of infection with influenza had fallen to less than 1 per cent by the end of February, marking an end to the winter flu season, which normally extends to the end of March or into April. ... Ho Pak-leung, a leading microbiologist at the University of Hong Kong, said data showed the flu season had shortened from an average of 98.7 days to 34 days this year. https://www.ft.com/content/ad7ae6b4-5eab-11ea-b0ab-339c2307bcd4 https://www.ft.com/content/ad7ae6b4-5eab-11ea-b0ab-339c2307b... * Twitter link to above to possibly bypass paywall: https://twitter.com/Birdyword/status/1236491746541895685?s=20 https://twitter.com/Birdyword/status/1236491746541895685?s=2...

perl4ever 7y ago
"It's been noted that residents there were very receptive to social distancing measures due to their experience with SARS in 2003" It's going to be interesting how society changes as a result of this, for those of us who live through it.
- wyattpeak 7y ago
  > for those of us who live through it Please don't needlessly add drama to the already fairly panicked response. Virtually everyone under the age of seventy will live through it. The death rate for young to middle-aged adults is two or three per thousand.
  - bagacrap 7y ago
    I think that gp was adding respect for the deceased, not drama.
    - perl4ever 7y ago
      I've noticed people take offense if you mention that the survival rate is 99.5% if you're under about 50. Because you're minimizing the seriousness. I'm not surprised that people take offense if you imply that some people will still die, because you're contributing to the hysteria.