Have you considered the fatality rate and what would happen if it reaches the same percentage of population as seasonal flu? Check out Spanish Flu for worst ca

Have you considered the fatality rate and what would happen if it reaches the same percentage of population as seasonal flu? Check out Spanish Flu for worst case scenario. China restrictions have been much more stringent than what you imply. People in Wuhan were prevented from leaving their apartments at all and needed to wait for food from the government. The jury is still out whether softer forms of restrictions can work once the disease is widespread. We will see about that by watching South Korea and Italy. (We know it works if there are not too many cases around, like in Singapore.)